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Adrien Broner vs. Mikey Garcia. Who wins?

Adrien Broner Mikey Garcia


By Matthias Predonzan: Getting close to Saturday’s night fight between Miguel Angel “Mikey” Garcia (36-0, 30 KOs) and Adrien “the Problem” Broner (33-2, 24 KOs), there is quite a lot of buzz in the media and fans and experts are giving their prediction for their fight on Showtime Boxing at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

It looks like, in this case, there are not only the usual 2 parties with opposite position, one favoring one fighter and the other favoring the contender.

This time it seems to me that the dialectic of the fight is more between who thinks that the fight will be a one-sided fight and who thinks that the match will be a close one. Why is that?

The reason stays in the fact that in this particular fight, the range of possibilities for the outcome is really the widest, because we have actually 3 fighters getting in the ring, not two, as usually is the case.

Before you kindly ask psychiatric care for me, please consider my explanation.


Just to stay at what is going on right now, in the world of boxing, we have coming on a September 16 fight like GGG Gennady Golovkin vs. Saul Canelo Alvarez – the most awaited fight since years – that is dividing the fans’ predictions basically on the 50/50% basis.

The reason of this balance in predictions is that both guys are elite fighters, both are consistent and everyone has stronger points over the other.

On the other side of the spectrum we have the August 26 fight like Floyd Mayweather Jr – arguably the best pugilist of the last generation – vs. Conor McGregor – at his pro-boxing debut – in which everybody, except the eccentric Tyson Fury, sees McGregor having no chances at all to win.

Differently, in case of the Garcia vs. Broner’s fight, we have one fighter that is consistently an elite fighter, Mikey Garcia – always well prepared and his performances been very consistent – and a guy like AB that can be an elite fighter but can also be a very average one. This is the problem. We do not know which Broner will show up on Saturday night.

Because if the best AB will show up, I’ll have to think a lot before to decide where to put my betting money, considering the facts that he is the bigger guy and he can take a punch, in my opinion, much better that Garcia.

That’s why this match has to be considered, in my opinion a 50/50% fight. The area of unpredictability is too large to give a decisive prediction.

AB lost his credibility of been an elite fighter, because of his lack of discipline not of talent. But if talent cannot be invented, discipline can be recovered.

So, I really think we are approaching one of the best shows of the year.

Credit to the two fighters that didn’t hesitate to take the most challenging fight of their career, that can well be the fight of the year and the turning point of their boxing journey.


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