Jaime Munguia (42-0, 33 KOs) takes on super middleweight contender John Ryder (32-6, 18 KOs) tonight at the Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona.
Munguia is rumored to possibly face Canelo Alvarez (60-2-2, 39 KOs) or David Benavidez (28-0, 24 KOs), but to be considered for either match, he must first defeat Ryder, and he must do so convincingly.
Munguia may try to do something Canelo was unable to do, which is knock out John Ryder. Something that may pose difficulty, as Ryder has only lost a match by knockout once in his professional career. It happened nearly nine years ago as a middleweight against Nick Blackwell (19-4, 8 KOs), a controversial stoppage by referee Howard Foster.
The match will most likely go the distance and should be competitive in the early rounds. John Ryder is a low-output puncher in comparison to Jaime Munguia. His output is nearly 50 percent lower than Munguia’s; in his last two full 12-round matches, he threw an average of 453 punches per fight.
While Munguia threw an average of 811 punches per match in his last two 12-rounders. Munguia has the stamina and power to be dangerous for the full fight, in his last match against Sergiy Derevyanchenko he threw 112 punches in the last round and dropped him in the process.
Ryder is outlanded in the rounds in which the opponent has a higher output rate due to his limited defense. He isn’t elusive or have lighting fast speed, he fights at close range, and prefers to stay in the pocket and engage in back-and-forth exchanges.
Giving the opponent the opportunity to counter or initiate a pressure attack. Ryder has, in the past, struggled against pressure power punchers. Munguia will seek to exploit his defensive weaknesses by initiating the exchanges, trapping him into corners, and keeping him on the defensive.
Jaime Munguia is an offensive-minded fighter with limited defense. He himself struggles with head movement and avoiding getting countered. His new trainer, Freddie Roach, is an offensive strategist who’ll have bettered his offense but done little in improving his defense.
This match with Ryder will look very similar to his fights against Sergiy Derevyanchenko (14-5, 10 KOs) and Gabriel Rosado (26-17-1, 15 KOs). It will have many exchanges that will favor the young 27- 27-year-old combination puncher.
Munguia’s high output style will pose difficult for Ryder. If the 35-year-old Ryder does not increase his work rate or attempt to evade Munguia’s attack, he may find himself taking heavy punishment as he did in the Canelo fight.
Munguia throws an average of 40.5 power punches per round which is more than the 39.2 total punches Ryder throws. Ryder opponents land about 37.2 percent of their power punches. If Munguia has that type of connect rate against Ryder, he’ll come out victorious.
Source: Compubox