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Saul Alvarez will never beat Austin Trout

trout342By Dan Ambrose: Golden Boy Promotions badly wants to match WBC junior middleweight champion Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (41-0-1, 30 KO’s) up with Miguel Cotto (37-4, 30 KO’s) so they can make a star out of Alvarez. However, the one fighter that boxing fans will probably never see Golden Boy match their Golden Goose Alvarez up with is unbeaten WBA World light middleweight champion Austin Trout (26-0, 14 KO’s).

The reason boxing fans won’t get to see this fight is because Trout has the perfect style to totally dominate Golden Boy’s flat-footed fighter Alvarez. Alvarez doesn’t have the ability to move quickly around the ring, and he only seems capable of fighting flat-footed much in the same way that former WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. fights.

Alvarez is like a smaller version of Chavez Jr., but not quite as skilled. Chavez Jr. can do a little bit more than Alvarez in the ring in terms of being able to fight at the distance and the inside as well as cutting off the ring much better. Chavez Jr. also has better stamina than Alvarez. If you’ve seen some of Alvarez’s fights, he’s red in the face and tired when the fight goes past eight rounds.

That’s not something that you see with Chavez Jr. Trout is like the Sergio Martinez of the junior middleweight division. He’ll absolutely eat up a basic plodder like Alvarez, and that’s what Alvarez is. He’s little more than a plodder with good power that has taken advantage of the match-making that his promoters at Golden Boy has done for him by putting him in with a lot of welterweights and older fighters.

Alvarez doesn’t have the advantage that Chavez Jr. has at middleweight by being much bigger than guys from his own division, but Golden Boy has taken care of that by matching Alvarez against guys from the divisions below him, and thus giving Alvarez the same advantage that Chavez Jr. has at middleweight.

Trout should be the one that’s facing Alvarez on May 4th, but we likely won’t see that happening and my prediction is that Golden Boy will never match Alvarez against Trout unless Trout gets old and is shot. Alvarez, 22, is young enough to wait the 27-year-old Trout out and fight him when he’s old and has lost his skills. I’d hate to see something like that happen but that’s the only way I see Golden Boy letting Trout face Alvarez.

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