By Dave Lahr: I’ve got a pretty good idea how the December 11th clash between unbeaten Dereck Chisora (14-0, 9 KO’s) and IBF/WBO heavyweight champion Wladimir Klitschko (55-3, 49 KO’s) will go down. The fight, which takes place at the SAP-Arena, Mannheim, Baden-Württemberg, Germany, will be a lot like Chisora’s recent impressive 9th round stoppage over Sam Sexton on September 18th. Chisora fought poorly in the first half of the fight, but once he got in close, Chisora was able to take over the fight with his superior inside work and eventually take Sexton out in the 9th.

I saw this as a learning experience for Chisora, because he learned from that fight the tools he’ll need to beat Wladimir next month. Specifically, what Chisora did to beat Sexton was to continue to fight while being held as Sexton was attempting to clinch. Chisora refused to be clinched, and just kept throwing punches while being held. Chisora was able to land some especially hard lefts and rights that hurt Sexton and had him out on his feet at the time the fight was finally stopped in the 9th. If you know anything about Wladimir, you’ll recognize that he clinches 24/7.

The guy literally can’t seem to fight without clinching a minimum of 10 times per round against fighters that are putting a lot of pressure on him the way that Chisora and David Haye will be doing. The thing is clinching is the worst thing you can do against Chisora and Haye, because those heavyweights don’t allow themselves to be tied up. They just use that as an opportunity to throw powerful shots in close. Both Haye and Chisora can punch hard enough while being held to stop Wladimir. As such, this is how Chisora is going to beat Wladimir.

Chisora is going to hurt him with one of his short right or left hands while being held onto by Wladimir and then flurry on him until Wladimir either drops or the referee steps in and stops the fight. Wladimir can’t control his clinching instincts even if he wanted to. At this point, he literally can’t stop himself from clinching, even though his trainer Emanuel Steward is telling him not to do that. That was the case with Wladimir’s recent fight against Samuel Peter. In between rounds, Steward repeatedly told Wladimir not to clinch. So what does Wladimir do in the very next round? You guessed it, he clinched like mad. This is where Chisora is going to win the fight.