By Dave Lahr: The odds are stacked against unbeaten Dereck Chisora (14-0, 9 KO’s) pulling off a miracle upset of IBF/WBO heavyweight champion Wladimir Klitschko (55-3, 49 KO’s) next month on December 11th at the SAP-Arena, Mannheim, Baden-Württemberg, Germany. Chisora says he’s 6’2″, the same size as former Klitschko conqueror Lamon Brewster, but Chisora looks shorter than that and is probably closer to 6’1″, and he doesn’t have Brewster’s power either.

But you have to give Chisora a chance to win because Wladimir has the weakest of chins and can be taken out at any time if he gets hit hard enough. Since this a fight that Chisora will have more and more problems in as the fight creeps into the later rounds, my advice for him would be for him to fight Wladimir the same way that WBA heavyweight champion David Haye likely would if given the chance.

Haye will almost surely move around in circles and then look to land a big pot shot to see if he can stun Wladimir. If he’s not successful, Haye will jump back out to the outside. The next thing Haye will attempt to do is duck his way inside to land some big haymakers. Wladimir doesn’t like when his opponents get in close and will immediately grab Haye to clinch. This will lead to Haye letting loose with a stream of punches while Wladimir is holding on to him trying to clinch.

Haye will no doubt connect with rabbit shots, punches to the side of the head and shots to the face of Wladimir. I can’t see Wladimir surviving one clinch attempt against Haye. Since Wladimir has become to set in his ways in terms of how he fights now, he can’t help but to clinch. Even if his trainer Emanuel Steward warns him against this, Wladimir will still clinch because it’s a huge part of his game now.

Wladimir didn’t used to fight like this before Steward trained him. In the pre-Steward phase of Wladimir’s career, he never clinched and was a devastating knockout artist, but not anymore. He still gets knockouts but he tends to get them later in his fights after he’s landed an accumulation of blows. He clinches all the time now, and you can expect him to be doing a lot of that against Chisora.

For Chisora to beat Wladimir, all he needs to do is study Haye’s fight with John Ruiz and note in great detail how Haye opens up Ruiz every time he attempted to clinch. Haye refused to be clinched. He just kept throwing punches. This is what Chisora needs to do if he wants to beat Wladimir. He needs to flurry on Wladmir and keep punching even if one of his arms are being held or if Wladimir is draped himself all over Chisora. Dereck needs to throw until the referee drags him off of Wladimir. I would do this every time Wladimir attempts to clinch. But if he tries to stay moving without clinching, Chisora needs to rush him and plant his head in Wladimir’s chest and start flurrying to the sides of his head. Believe me, if Chisora does this, Wladimir will fall.