BOXING NEWS 24

Cotto is the legitimate middleweight champion!

martinez2222By Bob Smith: My first reaction to the Martinez-Cotto fight, like many others is: wow! How could Miguel Cotto (39-4, 32 KO’s) be so dominant? How could he knock down WBC middleweight champion Sergio Martinez (51-3-2, 28 KO’s) three times in the first round, when Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. could not do this in 11 rounds? Why was it that Martinez was not able to hurt Cotto significantly even once? And what was behind that massive left hook early in the first round that sent Martinez flying, from which he never fully recovered, in that round or after it?

I think first and before anything, we have to give Cotto his due. This version of Cotto would have defeated Martinez if he had fought Martinez at the time of Matthew Macklin and Darrin Barker. It would not have been a blow out, and he would not have gotten four knockdowns, but this version of Cotto would have caused Martinez enough problems to control the action.

Martinez will easily TKO/KO Cotto within 9 rounds

martinez4545by Bob Smith: How anyone could pick Miguel Cotto over Sergio Martinez without actually working for Cotto or being Puerto Rican is beyond me.  Martinez possesses nearly every single advantage – speed, power, athleticism, technique, experience, size, skill, and so on.  Martinez has faced better opponents than Cotto with the exception of Mayweather and Pacquiao, two fighters who Cotto lost to.  And he has done so being the smaller man, but the harder puncher. 

The plan for Cotto appears to be to come in and bludgeon the body of Martinez and throw a lot of left hooks, but the jab of Martinez, along with his movement, power, and quick in and out combinations, will completely frustrate and wear down Cotto.

Maidana gives Mayweather the toughest fight of his boxing career!

maidana2By Bob Smith: The most appropriate response to the tremendous performance by Marcos Maidana is: Wow!  Maidana clearly won 5 or 6 rounds of the fight, and I watched it live and had it in the end for Floyd Mayweather Jr by 1 or 2 points, though I could have seen a draw or even a slight edge on the cards for Maidana.  One thing that I am sure of is that Mayweather did not deserve to win by more than the three points on the cards – two of the scorecards for the judges were much wider than they should have been.

I actually would have thought a majority draw would have been a reasonably outcome, but without a knockdown from Maidana, I think that in the end a majority decision for Mayweather was the most just.

Pacquaio will win by KO or completely dominate the fight

pac73729999by Bob Smith: Sometimes what appear to be evenly matched big fights are not actually so after careful consideration. One recent example was the Canelo-Alvarez fight – I tended to favor Mayweather by default, but an engaging and incisive article by writer Bob Smith really confirmed my viewpoints:

http://www.boxingnews24.com/2013/06/alvarez-will-land-fewer-than-7-punches-per-round-en-route-to-a-clear-loss/

At the same time, sometimes a clear favorite due to hype actually faces a 50/50, fight, as in the case or Broner vs. Maidana.  Do not get me wrong, I like both fighters and both have bright pasts and futures, but for Broner to face the caliber of welterweight of a Marcos Maidana was simply too much too soon, and actually, Bob Smith mentioned this earlier in the year last year:

How many punches will Maidana land against Floyd?

maidana433By Bob Smith: It is early spring, and thus again it is time for a Floyd Mayweather Jr (45-0, 26 KO’s) fight on Cinco De Mayo against WBA welterweight champion Marcos Maidana (35-3, 31 KO’s). Who will win, the pointless rhetorical question proclaims? Of course it will be Mayweather. Again, this intends no disrespect for Maidana, he is easily a top 10 welterweight, and arguably, given the improvements he has made with excellent trainer Robert Garcia, a top 6 welterweight. Of course, he is champion, but he took it from Adrien Broner, who was not the strongest welterweight champion in recent memory.

The fight that I would really like to see is Maidana vs. Robert Guerrero, that would be an excellent fight and probably a toss up, though I would give the slight edge to Guerrero due to superior boxing skill and experience.

Who wins: Cotto vs. Alvarez (part 2)?

canelo132By Bob Smith: Late last year, on 10/6/2013, noted boxing expert Bob Smith published an article on Boxing News 24 titled “Who wins: Cotto vs. Alvarez?”

Here is the link:

http://www.boxingnews24.com/2013/10/who-wins-cotto-vs-alvarez/

In it, he argued that by the standard of how each of them did against Floyd Mayweather Jr., he would favor Cotto in a contest between them due to the superior defense of Cotto. He rightly pointed out that Canelo only landed 1 punch per round more than Cotto on average against Mayweather (117 landed to 105 landed), but Cotto held Mayweather to a 26% (!) connect rate whereas his connect rate against Alvarez was 46%.

Canelo will in a boring unanimous vs. Angulo

canelo400By Bob Smith: I have gone back and forth as to whether or not Alfredo Angulo has the chance to pull off the upset in this fight. Surely, it is true that whatever skill Saul “Canelo” Alvarez has he is still overrated; surely, it is also case that he has been carefully sheltered by Golden Boy to ensure an impressive record, yet it is one that is devoid of a single junior middleweight with solid punching power; and of course it is annoying to hear the so-called experts heap praise on him as if he were one of the best boxers in the world or the future of boxing.

While all of this may be true, it does not mean that Angulo has a sufficiently strong chance to upset Canelo. It is interesting that the odds for Angulo to pull this off have changed – from +650 to +450, in only one day, so clearly some individuals are willing to wager that he will expose Canelo.

Is Floyd Mayweather Jr. the Greatest of All Time?

floyd#261By Bob Smith: The simple answer is, yes, Floyd Mayweather Jr. is the Greatest of All Time. It is not only his undefeated record, but the caliber of opposition that he has faced, his climb through the boxing weight classes as he defeated champion after champion, future Hall of Famer after future Hall of Famer, and above all his nearly impenetrable defense. I don’t think that he has been genuinely stunned or hurt by a single punch in his entire career, and this more than anything else is a testament to his greatness.

Skeptics and haters will argue that he actually lost to Jose Luis Castillo; that Judah got a knockdown against him; that the Shane Mosley punch hurt him; that he lost to Oscar De La Hoya, blah, blah, blah. They are jealous of his success and envious of his titles.

2014: The year of Sergio Martinez

martinez452By Bob Smith: Since the fight between Miguel Cotto and Sergio Martinez has been signed for June 7, various commentators have begun to make predictions about the outcome. Really, all of it depends on the degree to which his knee is a problem and the extent to which he has aged in the ring. The last round of his fight with Julio Ceasar Chavez Jr. was a costly war, and anyone who witnessed his match with Martin Murray, where he barely squeaked by with a hometown decision, can attest to the fact that he was not the same Sergio Martinez on that night.

And of course, the open question is which Sergio Martinez will show up – the explosive one from 2009 to late 2012, that rocked Paul Williams, defeated Martin Murray and Darren Barker and totally outclassed Julio Caesar Chavez Jr. for 11 rounds until he succumbed to an unwise slugfest, or the much diminished recipient of a barely deserved decision against Martin Murray.

Most challenging fights for Pound for Pound Top 10

mayweather223By Bob Smith: In this article, I list the ESPN pound for pound top 10, and the most difficult fights that they can possibly face this year. Many of the fights are unlikely for that very reason, but no boxer is invulnerable, and some very famous boxers would not do very well against realistic competitors. If there is no one who can challenge the boxer at that weight, I list “no one”; if there is a challenge, I list the P4P star’s odds of victory – not the betting odds, but the odds that they will win.

#1 Floyd Mayweather – @140 – no one; @147 – no one; @154 – Erislandy Lara, 3 to 1; Sergio Martinez, 3 to 2; Gennady Golovkin, 3 to 2.