By William Mackay: Former Derek Chisora (15-3, 9 KO’s) conqueror Tyson Fury is picking David Haye (25-2, 23 KO’s) to emerge victorious in their July 14th fight at Upton Park, in London, UK. Fury thinks Haye will be alright as long as he doesn’t get stupid and try to slug with the much heavier Chisora. Haye will likely be out-weighed by 25 to 30 pounds by the 245 pound Chisora on fight night.
Fury told thesun.co.uk “I see Haye winning on points. Chisora has a decent chance but it depends if Haye comes for a fight or not. That is not the strategy he needs to take into the ring. As long as Haye comes to box and not go toe-to-toe, he will beat Chisora comfortably.”
I don’t know about Haye winning comfortably. When Haye is fighting scared, he throws little more than 20 punches per round while running around in circles all night. Haye won’t win a wide decision if he’s throwing only 20 punches per round like he did against former WBA heavyweight champion Nikolay Valuev in Haye’s 12 round majority decision win in 2009.
Haye will need to throw at least between 30 and 40 punches per round, and he’ll need to make sure that Chisora isn’t landing his biggest shots. Chisora is mainly a pot shot fighter due to all the weight he carries around that affects his stamina. When Chisora does throw a handful of punches, he generally needs to rest for a period of time before he’s able to regain his power. If he throws punches in between that time, both Chisora’s power and his form dramatically go downhill.
Fury easily beat Chisora by a wide decision last year in July in a 12 round unanimous decision for the 6’9″ Fury. However, Fury had a big advantage in size in that fight. He was further helped by Chisora coming into the fight 20 pounds overweight at 260lbs. That made it easy for Fury to box his way to a decision.
Fury continued “Chisora is good when fighting at close range and I expect it to be another cagey fight like the one against Klitschko.”
Chisora is a decent inside fighter but hardly what you’d call a good inside fighter. Chisora is better when he has some punching room when he’s standing at medium distance so that he can get maximum leverage on his shots. When Chisora is in close, he likes to take rest breaks. This allows to recharge his energy stores without taking a lot of hard shots from his mostly taller opposition. Chisora will try hard to get in close against Haye so that he can avoid big shots and get plenty of rest breaks.
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