Cotto vs. Canelo: The Fight Forecast

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By Tanner Jay:

The Context:

The November 21, 2015 PPV fight between Miguel Cotto and Canelo Alvarez is a reminder that the boxing industry can dependably sustain itself on the script of its chaotic pageantry. Again we are inundated with the clichés used to illustrate the battle as a heated exchange between two cultures heavily involved in the prizefight tradition. Both men have identities synonymous with their respective culture, and yet surely this fight will sell outside the Puerto Rican and Mexican consumer corridor, but the only bold assurance I will wager on is that it will not be the bloodlust war of attrition that has been promised.

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Farewell Letter to Mayweather: Will Canelo Live up to it?

de la hoya95By Timothy Bladel: Unless you live under a rock, you’ve probably heard about Oscar De La Hoya’s titillating farewell letter to retired fighter Floyd Mayweather Jr. If not, it’s a good read. The kind of bravado that should make any boxing fan at least dream of a day when good fights are made for no other reason than they are good fights.

Then, we realize that the dream may already be dead. De La Hoya makes a bold claim his Golden Boy Promotions is built on taking risk. If that is true, then there is no reason that Canelo Saul Alverez shouldn’t fight Gennady Golovkin (GGG) should he beat Miguel Cotto on November 21st. Is De La Hoya giving Canelo a pass here?

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De La Hoya expects Cotto-Canelo to bring 1.5 million PPV buys

delahoya9045By Dan Ambrose: Golden Boy Promotions CEO Oscar De La Hoya is predicting huge pay-per-view numbers for the November 21st fight between Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (45-1-1, 32 KOs) vs. Miguel Cotto (40-4, 33 KOs) on HBO pay-per-view from the Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada.

De La Hoya thinks the fight will bring in no less than 1.5 million pay-per-view buys for the fight, which sells for $59.99 on HBO.

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Cotto vs. Canelo: A Fight for the “Post” Millennium

1-cotto-canelo-m (5)By J Caldwell: The last time there was talks of two top Latino fighters set to grace the same ring, the boxing world would be set afire. Dubbed as “The Fight of the Millennium,” you’d be hard press to not find at least one boxing analyst that didn’t think either Oscar “The Golden Boy” De La Hoya, or Felix “Tito” Trinidad wasn’t going home with some kind of brain damage. Nevertheless, what transpired would not only shake-up the boxing world, but would stun the sport’s world the world over.

That was then, and this is now! What we have now in the more modern version of a Mexico versus Puerto Rico rivalry is a very game Saul “Canelo” Alvarez, a native Mexican, and an always dangerous Miguel Cotto, hailing for the tiny island of Puerto Rico, a small boxing mecca of sort. Thus, we have the makings for an all-out war on the night of Saturday November 21, 2015—or do we?

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Miguel Cotto says he’s retiring in one year

cotto-media (8)By Dan Ambrose: In what has to be seen as the end of any chance of a fight between WBC middleweight champion Miguel Cotto (40-4, 33 KOs) and Gennady “GGG” Golovkin (34-0, 31 KOs), Cotto revealed today that he plans on retiring from boxing next year. What this means is that we’re likely going to see Cotto fight Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (45-1-1, 32 KOs) two to three times, and then Cotto will retire without ever fighting Golovkin.

Cotto’s trainer Freddie Roach revealed today that Golovkin isn’t popular enough for him to get a fight against Cotto, and that if his popularity were to change someday, then there might be a fight between them. But if Cotto is serious about retiring in one year from now, then it’s obviously not going to be enough time for Golovkin to substantially increase his popularity enough to get a fight against Cotto in that short of a time frame.

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De La Hoya: How long can Cotto stay on his toes?

1-cotto-canelo-m (7)By Dan Ambrose: Saul “Canelo” Alvarez’s promoter Oscar De La Hoya expects WBC middleweight champion Miguel Cotto (40-4, 40 KOs) to be on his toes in their fight on November 21st on HBO PPV. De La Hoya believes that Cotto will be boxing, moving and trying not to get hit by the heavier 25-year-old Canelo.

However, De La Hoya has extreme doubts whether Cotto will be able to continue to stay on his toes for the full 12 rounds without tiring at some point. De La Hoya feels that once Cotto tires, Canelo will be able to jump on him to start using his size advantage against the lighter fighter.

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It’s Canelo that Needs GGG to be Great

1-GolovkinLemieux_Hoganphotos2By Timothy Bladel: Supposing Saul “Canelo” Alvarez defeats WBC middleweight champion Miguel Cotto on November 21st, the attention will quickly turn to a potential mega fight with Gennady Golovkin (GGG). Both fighters have much to gain from this matchup. However, a win for Canelo catapults him into new territory.

For GGG, it is a shot at The Ring Magazine middleweight lineal title (the man who beat the man), another unification belt, and a marketable name he has been hunting. For Canelo, he gets a shot at solidifying his standing as the next big thing by unifying three middleweight belts, and doing so by taking out one of the most feared men in boxing today. It’s the kind of win that makes legends, an upset victory over a feared fighter – where have we heard this story before?

Canelo has a strong resume for a guy who is only 25 years old, yet how much respect has that garnered him? He isn’t considered a top P4P boxer on most lists. Ring doesn’t have him in the top ten, with guys like Terence Crawford and Kell Brooks making the top ten. ESPN has Canelo at ten, under guys like Timothy Bradley JR. and even Cotto.

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Golovkin’s trainer: Canelo would have a responsibility to defend WBC title if he wins it

sanchezBy Dan Ambrose: IBF/IBO/WBA middleweight champion Gennady Golovkin’s trainer Abel Sanchez says Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (45-1-1, 32 KOs) will have a responsibility to defend the WBC middleweight title against Golovkin, the WBC #1 mandatory challenger, if Canelo defeats the current WBC 160lb champion Miguel Cotto (40-4, 33 KOs) in their catch-weight fight at 155lbs this month on November 21st.

There’s been talk that the winner of the Cotto-Canelo fight will ignore the World Boxing Council’s mandate that they fight Golovkin next, and instead will vacate the title so that they can continue to fight whoever they want to fight, which could very well be each other in a series of rematches until the boxing public tires of paying to see them fight each other on HBO PPV.

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Suliaman: Cotto-Canelo will be a close match

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By Dan Ambrose: Unlike a lot of boxing fans who see this month’s clash between WBC middleweight champion Miguel Cotto (40-4, 33 KOs) and Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (45-1-1, 32 KOs) as a bout that will end with destructive KO at some point, WBC President Mauricio Suliaman believes the fight will be a close match due to the meticulous preparation involved by both fighters and their camps.

While Suliaman believes that it’ll ultimate be a brawl, he still sees it as a close fight.

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