By Allan Fox: Former two division world champion Robert “The Ghost” Guerrero believes that Floyd Mayweather Jr. (48-0, 26 KOs) will be too good for former IBF/WBC 147lb champion Andre Berto (30-3, 23 KOs) in their fight this Saturday night on Showtime pay-per-view on September 12th at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Guerrero, who easily beat Berto by a 12 round decision in 2012, thinks Mayweather will beat the 31-year-old Berto by a lopsided decision. Guerrero doesn’t think it’s going to be an easy fight, but he definitely sees Mayweather winning by a one-sided decision.
“I think Floyd’s going to win by a wide margin but it won’t be easy. Never underestimate the desire of a hungry fighter,” Guerrero said to RingTV.com.
I think Guerrero is dead on correct in seeing Mayweather as the winner by a wide margin. Berto has good punching power and hand speed, but he’s got short arms and he focuses too much on his power. He’s going to be flailing away looking to land his shots as hard as possible to try and knock Mayweather out.
Berto has no chance of beating Mayweather by a decision because that’s not the type of game that he has going for him. It’s going to be tough for Berto because he’s got to try and beat Mayweather by knockout, so he’s going to be forced to push the fight at him the entire night. Mayweather’s job is easier. All he needs to do is counter Berto, take advantage of his mistakes, and move around the ring to avoid him all night.
As much as I want to believe what Mayweather has been saying about him making this an exciting fight, I don’t think it’s going to wind up a very thrilling to fight to watch. I think he’s going to play it safe and avoid mixing it up with the 31-year-old Berto.
Mayweather will play it safe and avoid a messy fight with Berto. It’ll be boring like Mayweather’s second fight with Marcos Maidana and his recent fight Manny Pacquiao, but at least Mayweather will win without getting hurt or banged up by Berto’s big shots.
“No one has been able to figure out his puzzle but all it takes is one punch. Berto does have power,” Guerrero said.
Berto will obviously land from time to time, but it’s going to be difficult for him to put together enough punches in a row to hurt Mayweather. Berto doesn’t have one-punch power. He’s the type of fighter who needs to land a number of hard shots to get a knockout. If he’s not close enough to land those shots against Mayweather, then this is going to be all but impossible for him to get a knockout.
The only way Berto will be able to land enough shots to hurt Mayweather is if he can work his way to medium to close range to throw his power shots. Mayweather will either move away or grab Berto in a clinch. If Berto is smart, he’ll keep throwing punches each time Mayweather clinches him, because he’s likely going to clinch him frequently on Saturday night.