By Dave Lahr: I give 39-year-old Shane Mosley (46-6-1, 39 KO’s) a great chance of beating Manny Pacquiao (52-3-2, 38 KO’s) in their May 7th fight if he can get Pacquiao bleeding and losing his vital fluids all around the ring at the MGM Grand, in Las Vegas, Nevada. If Pacquiao is cut and bleeding, especially around the eyes, he can’t fight worth a lick. Watch Pacquiao’s fight against Erik Morales in 2005, and you’ll notice how Pacquiao became as gentle as a lamb once he suffered cut near his right eye.

He spent rest of the fight touching his cut and trying to turn his head every time Morales would fire one of his big right hands at the cut. I’ve seen Pacquiao in other fights as well where he was cut, and he becomes mortal once his blood flowing. I think that’s the secret to beating Pacquiao. Mosley has got to rough up the Filipino and make work him over. If the blood starts flowing, then he’s got him. Then all Mosley needs to do is keep pouring in punches on the cut and he’ll have Pacquiao running for his left to keep from getting hit. Some fighters just fight terribly once their own blood is flowing like rivers.

Pacquiao is one of them. He doesn’t seem to like it and that’s the key. You have to be kind of masochist to be a good fighter. If you shy away when your nose is broken, your teeth are knocked out or if your cut to ribbons, then you’ll never be any good. This is why I see Mosley as having a great chance of beating Pacquiao. If the blood flows, he’ll win.