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Derek Chisora vs. Sam Sexton prediction

By William Mackay: In a nice little match involving two fringe heavyweight contenders, British heavyweight champion Derek Chisora (13-0, 8 KO’s) will be taking on Commonwealth heavyweight champion Sam Sexton (13-1, 6 KO’s) in Frank Warren’s Magnificent Seven card at the LG Arena, Birmingham, West Midlands. Chisora and Sexton have fought previously two years ago in a fight in which Chisora won by a 6th round stoppage in June 2008. Sexton, 26, has improved since then and won his last six fights with two of them coming against Irish cab driver Martin Rogan in 2009.

Sexton has the better boxing skills of the two, but his chin is a little shaky and he has serious stamina issues. If Sexton is smart, he’ll avoid getting in a war with Chisora like he did last time. That was a winnable fight for Sexton, but he made the mistake of getting in the trenches with Chisora and trying to slug it out. If he does the same thing on Saturday night, Sexton will lose the fight again, it’s as simple as that.

But if he fights smart, uses his jab and stays on the move, he has a much better chance of beating Chisora. I still think Chisora will beat him but I give Sexton at least a small chance of winning the fight. One problem that’s going against Sexton is that the fight will be a 12 rounder. Sexton has never fought beyond eight rounds, and in his 8th round stoppage win over Rogan in their first fight, Sexton looked exhausted by the 8th and on the verge of being stopped. Sexton was out on his feet in his first fight with Rogan late, and if the referee hadn’t stopped the bout because of Rogan’s swollen eyes, Sexton would have been stopped in a few seconds to go in the round.

Chisora won’t be tired and will keep punching until the very last round. Too bad Sexton will be knocked out long before that. Like I said, Sexton needs to avoid slugging with Chisora if he wants to beat him, but I think he’s still going to get caught by him and taken out regardless. I see both of these guys as bottom 15 fighters on a permanent basis. They would have seriously fatal issues if they took on a top 10 heavyweight like Odlanier Solis, Denis Boytsov, Alexander Povetkin or Ruslan Chagaev. I’m not even talking about the champions, because that wouldn’t even be interesting.

Prediction: Chisora by 7th round TKO

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