Canelo-GGG: Can Alvarez handle Golovkin fighting at 100% capacity

By Boxing News - 02/02/2018 - Comments

Image: Canelo-GGG: Can Alvarez handle Golovkin fighting at 100% capacity

By Sean Jones: Trainer Abel Sanchez has made it clear that Gennady ‘GGG’ Golovkin is going to go after Golden Boy Promotions star Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez from the first bell on May 5th in their rematch and push a much quicker pace than in their last fight against each other on September 16th at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Even fighting at a moderately fast pace, Golovkin (37-0-1, 33 KOs) had the 27-year-old Canelo red in the face, greatly fatigued and in need rest breaks against the ropes. This was Golovkin fighting at perhaps 50% capacity as far as pressure. This wasn’t Golovkin 100% pressure or even close to that. Canelo looked like he was boiling over from fatigue just with Golovkin boxing him from the outside for 12 rounds.

Golovkin, 35, found out for himself that he’s going to need to more than simply outworking and out-boxing him like Floyd Mayweather did. Golovkin is going to have to put it on Canelo to work him until it’s so clearly obvious that he’s lost the fight that there’s no way that any 3 judges in boxing could give him the victory or another 12 round draw like we saw the last time the two fighters fought last September at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The judges in that fight – Adalaide Byrd, Don Trella and Dave Moretti – scored the fight 118-110 for Canelo, 114-114 and 115-113 for Triple G.

Will Canelo be able to withstand a faster pace fight from Golovkin

The central question for the May 5th rematch between the Mexican star Canelo and GGG is whether a faster pace from Golovkin will cook the Golden Boy’s golden goose. In reviewing their previous 12 round contest on view before writing this article, I noticed that Canelo looked like he was completely maxed out in terms of what his cardiovascular system would allow him to fight at without him keeping over. Canelo was his full capacity at 100 percent. He was like an old car with 300,000 miles on it that was redlining and about to throw a rod.

Golovkin didn’t appear to realize how BADLY fatigued Canelo was at the time, because he continued to mostly box Canelo from the outside rather than looking to take him apart with nonstop punches to the body and head. By the last 4 rounds of the fight, Canelo had lost his form and his counter punching ability because he was so raggedly tired from the 50 percent pressure that Golovkin was putting on him. Canelo was done and just survive and steal rounds by fighting hard for the first minute of the rounds, and then run in the last 2 minutes.

Had Golovkin increased the pace of his fighting to 100 percent capacity, I think there’s no doubt that Canelo was seized up like an old car and coasted to the side of the road, needing assistance to get him towed away. I’m talking about Canelo’s trainers Eddy and Chepo Reynoso needing to either throw a white towel into the ring to save him or else he’d end up on the canvas, staring at the lights the way Amir Khan did in his fight against the redheaded Mexican star.

Luckily for Canelo, Golovkin didn’t up the pace to 100 percent. He stayed right at 50 percent, and this barely allowed Canelo to survive on his feet in a TOTALLY EXHAUSTED state. There’s no question that Canelo had lost the fight in a real sense. Canelo obviously lose the fight in the minds of 2 of the Nevada State Athletic Commission assigned judges, Trella and Byrd, but he’d lost the fight as clear as day in the eyes of the boxing public. That’s what matters. Canelo lost and he was seen as the loser, and he’s STILL seen as the lower of that fight.

Can the 27-year-old Canelo improve his stamina before the GGG rematch

We’ve seen the video Canelo posted of him on his a bicycle riding slowly on a long road, trying to improve his poor stamina. This is supposed to be Canelo’s attempt at improving his horrible stamina for the Golovkin rematch, and it’s clear he doesn’t know what he’s doing. As a former 100, 200 and 400 meter sprinter, it’s obvious that Canelo is going about improving his poor stamina the wrong way. He’s not going to fix his stamina by riding a bicycle slowly on a long road. The only way for Canelo to increase his stamina is to do wind sprints, and fast paced runs. He’s not going to help his stamina by riding a bicycle. That’s a waste of time in my view.

Canelo is going to end up in the same boat as he was the last time he fought GGG by gassing out after 1 minute of each round, and then looking to rest on the ropes for the last 2 minutes of each round. I think the difference is there’s likely going to be better judging for the rematch, and they’re going to give Canelo another 12 round draw if he’s just stalling out the rounds in the last 2 minutes of each round. I do think Canelo improve his stamina if he had a professional track coach that could get off the bike and take him over to the track to run him. I just don’t see that happening.

Canelo is leaving his cardio training up to the Reynoso’s, who clearly are wasting his time by putting him on a bicycle and letting him ride slowly. As bad as Canelo’s horrible stamina is, he needs major help in that department, and he’s not going to get it with his old school trainers putting him throw his paces. It’s too bad. Canelo doesn’t realize how bad off he is. When you’re getting junk training, you’re going to end up with junk results. As they say garbage in garbage out. You’re only as good as the training that you have, and poor Canelo is handicapped in that regard.

The Secret to beating Canelo – push a fast pace until he falls apart

Golovkin has the key locked away in his brain in how to defeat Canelo and leave him in a heap on the canvas on May 5th. Triple G has always had the ability to destroy Canelo, but he didn’t use the ability in their previous fight. Golovkin wasted time trying to copy Floyd Mayweather’s blueprint in how to clown Canelo, but he didn’t realize that he was up against in terms of the judging for that fight.

Golovkin has to get back to the fighter he was in the past by pressuring at full capacity for every second of the fight if he wants to defeat Canelo and leave him on the canvas to be counted out by the referee. The only way to do that is for Golovkin to stay in close to medium range, and not let Canelo breathe at all, period. Golovkin must throw NONSTOP punches to the head and body, and not let Canelo get his rest breaks, because he falls apart when he can’t rest. That’s the reality of the situation.

Canelo falls apart if he can’t take his needed rest breaks. If Canelo plays his normal game of turning his back to Golovkin when he throws to the body, in an attempt to get the referee to warn him about throwing punches to the back, then Abel Sanchez needs to let the referee know this is what he uses in his fights to keep from getting hit to the body. Canelo turns his back to his opponents when they throw body shots, and he’s not supposed to do that. Canelo is ‘gaming the system’ by using that strategy to keep his opponents from throwing body shots. Sanchez has to let the referee know that Canelo likes to turn his back to his opponents to get the referee to warn his opponents to stop throwing body shots.