By Chris Williams: If trainer Freddie Roach has any say so, former eight division world champion Manny Pacquiao will be facing Floyd Mayweather Jr. in a rematch and unbeaten former WBA/WBC light welterweight champion Danny Garcia.

Unfortunately for Roach, he doesn’t have any voice in who Pacquiao fights. The decider for Pacquiao is 83-year-old Bob Arum, and he’s already been vocal about who he wants to the 36-year-old Filipino star to fight in 2016. Arum would like to see Pacquiao fight a rematch against Mayweather, and then possibly Amir Khan or Terence Crawford.

Khan’s name has been mentioned a lot by Arum, but it’s unclear if he’s just name dropping Khan’s name to make Mayweather think they’ve got other options so he won’t come to the bargaining table asking for too large of a money split for a second fight.

“It could be awhile. I’m looking at three to six months from now,” Roach said to RingTV.com about when Pacquiao will be able to return to the ring after his surgery on his injured right shoulder.

When asked who he’d like to see Pacquiao fight, Roach said [Danny Garcia], “He’d be a good opponent.” Roach also mentioned Mayweather.

Roach has been talking up a Pacquiao vs. Danny Garcia fight for a while now, as he sees Garcia’s come forward style as perfect for Pacquiao. But a fight between Pacquiao and Danny Garcia might prove to be impossible to make because Garcia is with manager Al Haymon, and it’s very unlikely that he’s going to put together a fight between him and Pacquiao.

Roach can want the fight to happen, but at the end of the day he’s not the one who decides on who Pacquiao fights. That’s Arum’s job and he seems very keen on the idea of Pacquiao fighting his Top Rank stable fighter Terence Crawford. Like I said, Arum has been mentioning Khan’s name, but I don’t think he’s seriously going to even bother trying to put a fight together between him and Pacquiao. Khan is with Haymon too, and that pretty much means no fight between them. If Arum can’t get a rematch between Pacquiao and Mayweather put together in early 2016, then you can bet that Arum will trot out Crawford for Pacquiao to fight.

It’s an in house fight for Arum, and it’ll make him good money because he promotes both of them, so there won’t be any sharing of the money with another promoter. It’s a fight that will increase Crawford’s value with Arum’s Top Rank company because he’ll be seen by a lot of boxing fans. If Pacquiao loses the fight to Crawford, oh well.

It would obviously permanently wreck any idea of a Mayweather vs. Pacquiao rematch, but I think the chances of that fight happening again are pretty slim anyway given the things that have happened since the Mayweather-Pacquiao fight took place last May.

I believe that Arum has got get Crawford that fight against Pacquiao to increase his value with Top Rank, and unless he does that as soon as possible, Pacquiao could get beaten again by someone else. With every defeat Pacquiao suffers, it hurts Crawford’s chances of getting any surge in popularity by fighting Pacquiao. That’s why I see Arum matching Pacquiao against Crawford in his first fight back since the injury. I don’t think there will be a Mayweather-Pacquiao 2 fight, especially not if Arum wants Pacquiao to get a purse split of 55-45 or 50-50.

Mayweather won’t entertain that idea even for a second, and he’ll laugh Arum out of the negotiating office. If Arum stands firm with Pacquiao deserving a bigger cut of the revenue for a second fight, then there will never be a second fight between them, because Mayweather isn’t going to reward Pacquiao for his failure.

Depending on how much Pacquiao has left, Danny Garcia would likely be an easy fight for him. Garcia is a flawed fighter, as we saw in his fight against Lamont Peterson, and he’s been matched pretty carefully through much of his career. The only two talented fighters that Garcia has fought during his career were Lucas Matthysse and Lamont Peterson.

Garcia held and hit Matthysse with low blows all night long in their fight in 2013 in beating him. Matthysse showed his inexperience by choosing not to return fire with the low blows, and the referee that worked the fight, Tony Weeks, did little to control Garcia’s constant fouling. Weeks is the same referee that worked the first Mayweather vs. Marcos Maidana fight, a bout in which Maidana roughed Mayweather up and wasn’t penalized for his fouling.

Garcia is in a tough situation in moving up to welterweight. He waited too long to move up to the division, and now he’s seemingly too late to get a fight against Mayweather. He’s probably not going to get a fight against Pacquiao.

The only way Garcia does anything in the welterweight division is if he waits for Mayweather to vacate his WBA and WBC titles, and then Garcia goes after one of those belts and faces someone like Khan to get it. If Garcia can win one of those belts, he can sit on the title and milk it without having to worry about fighting someone like Keith Thurman. The only guys that Garcia would have to worry about are Shawn Porter and Errol Spence Jr.

You could expect Garcia to use the same clinching/low blow game plan against them as he did against Matthysse. If they don’t know how to deal with getting hit low or how to deal with being held constantly, then they’ll lose the fight. But in a normal stand up fight minus the low blows and constant clinching, Garcia loses to Spence and Porter. They would both beat him and likely beat him fairly easily. I don’t think Garcia belongs at 147 among the top fighters in the division, and we’re going to see that once he starts getting beaten, as long as they know how to defeat being held and hit low by him.