By Dan Ambrose: In recent training video of WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (45-0-1, 31 KO’s) getting ready for his June 16th fight against contender Andy Lee (28-1, 20 KO’s), it’s hard to believe how huge Chavez Jr.

He looks over 190 pounds and not fat. It’s hard to imagine Chavez Jr. being able to take off enough water weight to get down to 160lbs to make the middleweight limit for the fight, because he’s not overweight right now in terms of fat.

Chavez Jr. really needs to move up in weight or they need to have same day weigh-in limits so you don’t have a fighter out-weighing another by 15 to 20 pounds. That’s just wrong. Chavez Jr. says he’s going to make weight easier this time than he did in his last fight against Marco Antonio Rubio in February, but I’ll believe that when I see it. Chavez Jr. has ballooned up in weight to at or near 180 in his last four fights, so why will this fight be any different. It’s not so much Chavez Jr. being out of shape, but rather the guy is basically a cruiserweight finding a way to take the water weight off a week before his weigh-in to make 160. Picture Floyd Mayweather Jr. dehydrating down to 130 to make super featherweight and then putting on 15 to 20 pounds after rehydrating. Mayweather would rule forever in that weight class and would dwarf everone. It’s a big advantage weighing 15 or more pounds than your opponent fight after fight.

Besides looking huge, Chavez Jr. looks really slow and seems to be getting winded from throwing more than a handful of combinations. In looking at the video, you can see where Lee could have a great strategy of beating Chavez Jr. by taking the fight to him and setting a high pace. At 160, Lee has less weight to lug around the ring and it can definitely help in the later rounds. If Chavez Jr. can’t get his conditioning together to where he can fight hard without slowing down and tiring from throwing a handful of combinations, then he’ll lose to Lee.