How Big will Mayweather-Mosley Really Be?
March 10th, 2010
By Alexander Fugate: First, I would like to apologize to everyone, as I was mistaken in an earlier article stating ticket sales for the May 1 mega-fight. It has since been brought to my attention that Stubhub.com allows fans to sell tickets to other fans. It appears (to me at least) to be a legal form of scalping online. Stubhub, from my current understanding doesn’t directly sell tickets to events, but simply allows people with tickets to events to sell them.
However, the question out there is how well will Mayweather-Mosley actually do? Richard Schaefer of Golden Boy Promotions has said he expects 3 million PPV buys. This seems to be an absurdly high number. The record for most PPV buys for any boxing match ever is 2.44 million and that is the only fight to ever eclipse the 2 million mark. Not even Mike Tyson ever garnered over 2 million PPV buys. So, 3 million certainly seems like a stretch, but it isn’t impossible.
And it certainly isn’t the first time Schaefer has estimated huge numbers for a Mayweather fight that left many rolling their eyes. But his previous high estimates for a Mayweather fight have been accurate. As Dan Rafeal of ESPN.com reported on March 4, 2010, “He (Schaefer) predicted that Mayweather-De La Hoya would break the all time PPV record in 2007, and it did. Last year he predicted Mayweather-Juan Manuel Marquez would crack a million buys, which few believed. It did.
So when Schaefer predicted Wednesday that Mosley-Mayweather would break the Mayweather-De La Hoya record, I didn’t laugh this time. It could.” I agree with Mr. Rafael that the fight on May 1st could break the record for PPV buys, but being possible is a far cry from being a sure thing. More people have access to PPV fights now than ever before and both Mayweather and Pacquiao fights since they fought De La Hoya have done very well to say the least.
Some wonder if this fight can gain that much support with two African-American fighters facing each other. And while there is no doubt many fighters of different ethnic backgrounds have prospered with the help of their fellow citizens, Mayweather-Mosley will still generate much interest with casual boxing fans. Trinidad and Cotto both received a lot of support from fellow Puerto Ricans, Hatton from the UK, Pacquiao from Filipino’s, and numerous Mexican greats from their fellow countrymen. Still, Hatton’s numbers don’t include the UK PPV buys, and the Phillipines don’t have PPV’s to my understanding. When PPV buy numbers are released, the figure released only includes “domestic” buys, which I presume to mean only in the USA. If one takes into account UK buys for Hatton fights, he got over 2 million for his fight with Mayweather and a couple hundred thousand over one million for fighting Pacquiao. Undoubtedly there is a large portion of Mexicans and many Filipino’s in the US, and I’m not sure whether PPV tallies include Puerto Rico, since it is part of the USA, but regardless there is a meaningful Puerto Rican population inside the “states”, especially in New York.
Honestly, I don’t see the fact that both fighters are African-Americans having much to do with how well this fight will be received. Whenever two of the best pound for pound fighters in boxing are in the same weight class and fight each, its going to pick up a lot of support from all boxing fans, both hardcore fans and casual fans alike. I can’t believe that Mexicans are going to tune out of such a big fight; to suggest so seems racist to me. I believe Mexicans are no different than any other ethnic group, and that boxing is especially popular in Mexico. There might be some that only tune in to cheer on their fellow countrymen, but the majority of Mexicans that purchase PPV boxing events do so for the same reason as everyone else, because they are fans of the sweet science.
Especially considering the ever popular 24/7 series will have a four show lead-up to the May 1st showdown; and it will also be heavily marketed by Golden Boy Promotions as they see a lot of potential in this showdown. And considering the legions of loyal Pacquiao fans, and that so much has been made of the Mayeather-Pacquiao negotiations, I can only see that helping attract more viewers. Many will want to see how both fighters perform and try to gauge their chances at beating Pacquiao. If Pacquiao gets past Clottey this weekend- which I and most gamblers agree is a certainty (Pacquiao is currently a 7-1 favorite)- than a showdown with the winner of Mayweather-Mosley later this year would almost certainly shatter all records for money and PPV buys generated from a boxing match. I think the failed Mayweather-Pacquiao negotiations will also help boost sales for Pacquiao-Clottey this weekend.
So considering the marketing Mayweather-Mosley will receive and the hype surrounding a future fight with Pacquiao for the winner, and the fact that these are not only two of the top welterweights, but two of the best pound for pound fighters in the game today, I see May 1st doing exceedingly well. Even though Schaefer has been correct in past predictions, his current 3 million mark still seems out of reach to me.
An interesting side-note is that both Mayweather and Freddie Roach have stated in the past that Mosley isn’t a big enough draw. Roach insisted the money wasn’t there for a Pacquiao fight with Mosley last summer and Pacquiao instead faced Miguel Cotto. That fight generated a great 1.25 million PPV buys, but if May 1st, doubles that, and Mayweather wins, it seems Pacquiao will have lost a ton of leverage and power in negotiations for a fight with Mayweather in the future. It would only seem logical that Mayweather should get a bigger slice of the purse in a Pacquiao fight if he is able to double Pacquiao-Cotto buys against an opponent that is supposedly less of a draw than Cotto.
Trying to be realistic, I see May 1st, getting anywhere between 1.75 million and 2.55 million buys (there are some variables, e.g. if Pacquiao wins, the amount of commercials, to name a couple) and that Pacquiao-Clottey will get around one million, give or take 100,000. If Pacquiao gets over a million and Mayweather-Mosley only gets around 1.75 million, Mayweather will have gained some leverage albeit not a huge amount, but if May 1st, sets records, than Pacquiao will have to face the fact that Mayweather is the much bigger draw and take substantially less than 50% for a future bout with Mayweather.
Tags: 58 Responses to “How Big will Mayweather-Mosley Really Be?”
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dude, this fight will be almost as big as my D%$¡…..yeah, you know what i´m saying…
HANDS DOWN FLOYED IS THE BEST FIGHTER THAT TAKES THE LEAST PUNISHMENT,MAYWEATHER OUT THINKS THOSE GUYS AND MAKE THEM LOOK LIKE THEY DONT EAVEN KNOW HOW TO FIGHT.MAYWEATHER SHOULD GET THE MOST MONEY BASE ON THE FACT HE HAS NOT LOST,LOVE HIM OR HATE HIM YOU WANT TO SEE HIM WIN OR YOU WANT TO SEE HIM LOOSE, EITHER WAY YOU WILL TUNE IN IF YOU LIKE BOXING!! mayweather and manny wont happen face the facts,manny dont want the truth to come out about his drug use thats why he is praying that mosley win because he know mosley dont care about a test he will just fight fire with fire.When mayweather wins manny will look stupid because it forces him to fight mayweather its knowbody els manny can fight to get a huge pay day. So what will manny do? i will tell you he is going to set up a fight with berto why because he is undefeted but guess what berto will beat him then mayweather will beat berto. berto and mayweather will make big money why because they are both undeafeted. im not here to hate on manny i just want to tell the people the truth,manny would not take the fight with mosley why? because it was no big money in it for him to fight mosley, it was the same thing with mayweather thats why money did not fight him a few years ago. So should we also call manny a duck? mosley has the belt dont forget that but yet and still manny pass him by, fake ass bruce lee is done he wont win another fight
I will watch Mayweather only if it’s free. I do not want him to gain from me. He is arrogant and a disgrace to the black community. He is not the kind of person I want my children to see as a role model. I want my children to be respectful of people without prejudice.
People hate on Mayweather because he talks, so he should be able to take it. Give and you shall receive. The question is, why are people hating on Pacquiao? He is the best example of good sportsmanship. He does not talk negatively about other people. He is a kind human being, but yet people hate on him? Please explain that.
Mayweather by Knockout is what I keep dreaming!
first off why is everyone talking trash on money, he has never lost, i wish i could say the same for the pacman. Oh nobody wants to bring up that Pacquiao has lost. Mayweather said it best “nobody has figured a way to beat me but there is a proven plan to beat Pac”, he is cocky and obnoxious just like 90 percent of Americans and that’s why people hate on him. if you piss on Floyd Money Mayweather Jr. then you piss on America. one last note the pacman is without a doubt the more exciting fighter in terms of the bigger hits but moneys overall boxing skill and tech cannot be matched.
did he really say mayweather and msoley will only do 500,000 if mayweather and marquez can do 1.05 …this is the biggest fight of the year unless amyweather anc apcquiao fight so its going to do great most boxing fans like mayweather or they like mosley the haters dont like mayweather which they never did and never supported him anyways so that will never effect his numbers john dumas you prolly never paid for a mayweather fight in your life and then talk about well hes not getting my money…like ok he never did anyways so how would that effect him at all…
Mayweather and Mosley might sell more
But the Pac and Clottey fight will be
100 times more excitng.
Who gives a st about PPV anyways,
I’m not the one gettting paid.
The PBF and SSM fight will definitely have more ppv sell than Pac and Clottey but Freddie Roach better not sleep on Clottey he can became Pac worst Night-mare if Freddie take him lightly .
Stop hating on PBF people the man do posses remarkable boxing
proficiency .
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Your purse split logic doesn’t make sense. When Mayweather fought Marquez the gate was not sold out and he stated that his PPV numbers would not be as large as Pacquiao/ Cotto due to his “Dance Partner”. So isn’t that same true for Pacquiao/Clottey? Makes more sense to compare PPVs with Mayweather/ Mosley and Pacquiao/ Cotto. Also, shouldn’t the gate + PPV sales determine the final dollar?
Mayweather treated Filipino press unjustly. He is taking it personally against pacman and in the process, extends his hate to anything/anybody Filipino. Maybe, the Filipinos (and for that matter, all other Asians and also Latinos)return the favor by boycotting the fight of this ungreatful chicken Mayweather. Maybe this way, we can force KFC to eventually fight Pacman.
This fight will be bigger than PAC-CLOTTEY.
JesusJones – great comment.
Clottey beat Zab Judah. Clottey is no slouch.
johnnyr no they didnt they dont count movie sales as ppv sales idk who told u that lie but that is not true
Big Al,
Agreed 100%.
For me personally as a boxing fan, Mosley V Mayweather is massive….should of happened years ago, but still it’s finally here. As a neutral I admire both fighters and what they have achieved, but I have felt for a long time that Mosley has the tools to cause Floyd problems and I see an upset on the cards. I’m excited I think a lot of boxing fans are. It will be big, but I don’t think as big as what GBP are hoping for.
if mayweather disappoints so much y is he beating out everybody time an time again when it comes to who draws the biggest crowds
mayweather-mosley will certainly do better in ppv numbers than pac-clottey for obvious reasons; but pac-clottey won’t disappoint which cannot be said of mayweather fights
@ CAM The reason the prices are so low at the stadium is because they want to fill the seats. The rea money is in parking and concessions. Jerry Jones will not lose any money since the seats are cheap. He looks like I see there aren’t many marketing majors on this site.
a promoter of the sport by saying you shouldn’t have to pay big money in vegas to see a good fight.
Great write Fugate.
It’s a no brainer that the Floyd/Mosley fight will generate the better draw. Ultimately in the end if both Manny and Floyd does meet, leverage on PPV will mean nothing. If this is to happen, it will still have to meet in the middle just as Pacquiao had agreed from the failed negotiations. If the boxing gods are looking at this from a half empty glass, it’s safe to say that they both need one another in order to make the fight of the century happen. Yes yes you people heard me. Yes I said it and I’ll say it again. “THE FIGHT OF THE CENTURY”. Anyhow it’s only 2010 and we have another 90 years left in the calendar. But as a boxing fan and as much as all this 7/1 odds does not matter much to me when the bell rings. If this Floyd/Pacquiao to happen, he must get pass Clottey first and so does Money may against one of my all time Sugar Shane from Southern Cali.
A side from all the BS and all the tickling form both Pac and Floyd fans, the boxing gods have given us 2 great fights. May the winner of both fights meet in the middle of the ring this coming fall. AND THAT MY FRIENDS WILL TRULY BE A GIFT FOR BOXING FANS FROM GENERATIONS TO COME.
I agree Much better then Pac-man/Clottey
For sure it will be bigger than Pacman vs Clottey.
It will be a very BIG disappointment… Much like the MW-ODLH fight, lots of hype but didn’t live up to expectations. Floyd ran his mouth, then ran just enough in the fight to squeak out a close decision.
We will see if Maywether’s PPV numbers were the result of Marquez’s Mexican supporters. I understand that GBP counted the PPV sales from Movie Theater ticket and CCTV sales at $20 per ticket rather than the $50 per ppv sale. They are also planning to do the same with the Mosley/Mosley fight. So we won’t really know what the true PPV numbers are. I would expect this fight to break the 1 million mark but without the theater numbers it’s not going to come close to 1.5 million.
What do you mean his last 2? His fight before the Marquez fight was an exciting fight with Hatton that ended in a knock-out.
I personally think fans were so turned off by Floyds last two bouts that the PPV won’t surpass the Cotto vs Manny bout. Don’t get me wrong, this is a superfight but the PPV numbers won’t reflect it. Floyd does not have as many fans as he thinks and his PPV numbers were inflated because of his last 3 opponents. In boxing and most other sports offence sells tickets and this fight has a great chance of being an over rated snooze fest just like Mayweather’s bouts with Marquez and De la Hoya. Sugar Shane is the wild card in this matchup but nobody knows what he has left after such a long layoff and his age. I will watch the fight at a friends or at a club because I refuse to pay $54.95 for a fight that will likely be boring and uneventful.
The tickets sold at the arena in Dallas is impressive, but when you look at the ticket prices it someone explains the reason why they are able to sell that amount.
The MGM Grand usually does sell-out during big events, but not just any boxing match can sell that amount of tickets at that speed at those prices, that the Mayweather vs Mosley fight has done thus far.
If this fight isn’t massive in terms of ppv sales I will be very surprised I mean they are both popular AMERICAN fighters so it stands out especially with the 24/7 series giving it a push in the right direction. My feeling is though, that {I might be the only one!} ppv sales DON’T MATTER!! The only people who should care about ppv’s are the ones who get to fatten their wallets. Why should a fighter who gets a lot of ppv’s be able to use this as bargaining power in his next fight? His next opponent could be from a country that dosn’t have ppv’s {I am from the UK and I get the big fights free as long as they don’t involve a BRITISH fighter!} It’s this sort of crap kreeping into negotiating that stops the big fights we all want to see from happening!!
fugate.
That Mayweather’s higher share demand against Pac will definitely a killer for their potential fight.
Well, I don’t know how Pac can handle being a lesser entity when he owns the boxing for 2 years after MoneyMay’s self-retirement.
Alex. First, I would like to commend you, for admitting error, and being forthright about it. It takes a man to admitt to being wrong. It’s very rare these days to see any media people to admitt to giving innaccurate info. But I will committ to your stories, as you must be a man of integrity to do so.
Anyway. I think this will break the Mayweather ODLH numbers based on history aline. If both Mayweather, and Mosley beat ODLH, and both are a houshold name in boxing, it’s a no-brainer that this is gonna be epic. Which brings me to my next point; Should we be so dismissive of the possibility of Shane beating Floys? Shane did it during Oscar’s prime. I know many will speak about Balco, and this is a reasonable argument. Floyd also beat Oscar. This was at the beginning of the sunset of Oscar’s carrer, but he was still pretty good. I think the blemishes form both sides cancel out, and we have two very equally gifted guys here. Mayweather tries to talk alot, but he knows Shane is a bonefide badass. Everybody does, especially after seeing his destruction of the hard chinned Margarito.
i’d say a PPV sell of 800k to 1mil is big enough because of several factors already mentioned before: clottey is relatively unknown, fight was put up with barely 2 months before fight nite, marketing is poor, plus the fact that both fighters are too nice that casual fans dont find somewhat interesting, i.e., a little trash-talk here & there revs up the fans’ appetite somehow…
but i do share the sentiment of some that floyd-shane fight must do more, probably at least a million more buys than pacquiao-clottey because of name-recall, marketing time, unresolved issues bet. both fighters that help sell the fight, both are americans.
and in all those years..
WHY NOW?
Foreal says:
March 10, 2010 at 1:17 am
Simon, you know deep down you are lying. Which dancer and which old man? Who will dare watch? Are you talking about Floyd and Shane? Come on Simon….this match ia already a sell out and you still doubt it, then you are certainly not willing to believe anything…not a single thing on matters of boxing especially that Floyd has never lost as a pro. that he never lost his P4P tittle in the ring and that he is the best boxer of our era. You know who Shane is..amongst the top 4 or 3 in this weight, and you will see what will happen to him come May 1. Any one not afraid of anything…needles, blood draing, including Floyd will line up to face the great boxer before the end of this year. Real men will stand-up and give no excuses because it will be the only thing that will make any fighter ascend to the best P4P position in this class.
I think you made a mistake in the last sentence. REAL MEN WILL STAND-UP AND GIVE NO EXCUSES BECAUSE … etc.
Who gave the first excuse of adding the blood test? Dont say that is not an excuse since if I’m sure floyd already knew of these stereoid allegations beforehand and these already occured years before, even longer before pacman is known. I say just let them fight with no more nonsense and everything. Let them prove themselves inside the ring.
Doesn’t the mgm usually sell out anywayz? 17000 that close to wat mosley vs margarito did!! Pac is bringin 45000 live fans!!
I think the PBF vs Mosley fight is long overdue. Finally we get them in the ring together. Now if PBF loses the fight against Mosley than he will probably lose out on the biggest paying fight in his career. Same goes for Manny if he loses against Clottey. Both of these fighters have to win against tough opponents to even think about having any kind of leverage in negotiations. Everyone is talking like the fights are just a walk in the park for PBF and Manny. Mosley is no joke and is an excellent boxer with more power than PBF has faced. Clottey is just as tough, extremely durable and has faced tougher opposition at WW than PBF and Manny. In the end I don’t care about PPV buys I just want to see the best fight the best. They should just make it mandatory to have a 60/40 split in favor of the winner for all fights regardless of popularity so there is no hold up in any negotiations over money.
Nice article! The 3M ppv buy is kind of a stretch considering that the US in still in a recession. But then again… I know that they will do better than Pacquiao-Clottey fight.
You have big balls Alexander to own up. Good man.
Pacquiao/Clottey has already sold over 40,000 tickets. That is more than twice the seating capacity at the MGM Grand Garden Arena. Just that, is an amazing feat in itself.
Pacquiao agreed to even-money to fight Mayweather even though:
1. Pacquiao is the current Welterweight Champ
2. Pacquiao is the fighter of the year 3 times in the last 4 years
3. Pacquiao got knockout of the year against Hatton
4. Pacquiao made history by winning his 7th title in 7 weight classes. No other fighter has ever done that.
5. Pacquiao fights bigger, more dangerous fighters
6. Pacquiao has much more exciting fights
7. Pacquiao was the hands down would be (and is now officially declared) Fighter of the Decade
8. Pacquaio was the bigger draw in PPV buys with his fight with Cotto, near 1.5 million
So why, if Mayweather/Mosley gets more PPV buys, does Pacquiao not get even-money also?
Pacquiao agreed to even-money to fight KFC and he still demands stupid drug testing? KFC hasn’t even approached the Nevada State Athletic Commission to change their drug testing rules because he’s afraid they are gonna take away his Xylocane, which is illegal in all 49 states except Nevada.
cali-ur retarded if u think mosley bringing in half the buys. ur prob. the same who said juanma brought half of what him and pbf did. Look at thier ppv # before they fought pbf, and mosley being a household name doesnt mean they a pay to see him (they havnt in all these years). Can someone please tell me a boxing site with real boxing fans. I happen to like pac & pbf i just wanna see good fights. (primemover) pac exciting (i agree) pbf boring (i agree) but thats only to the casual ass who knows nothing of the sweet science. I bet ur favorite fight was ward vs gatti (RIP). Nothing wrong with wanting to see action but its C-level at best
All my Brazilian MMA friends are hyped about he Pacquiao fight. Real recognizes real. they think Floyd Jr. is one big You know what……… So Don’t worry about. Everyone one knows that it’s an untapped market and Pacquiao is venturing in to the unknown. Taking risk from all angles. Fighting or making wise business calls. Pushing the envelope because he knows that there is now other way out than to go through the top. You gamble it all. You made it this far, now let America know that boxing is an international sport. While Floyd is out there basking in his own glory.
if you want an exciting, high-octane, thrilling boxing, then pacman will make your money’s worth. but if you want a boring and dull fight, go and watch mayweather.
The ” EVENT” is the REAL FIGHT that you want to see whether you
hate him or not !! Its only an XTREME BOXING MATCH !! Compare
this to the May 1 fight at MGM – NO COMPARISON !! YOU’LL SEE
The EVENT is the FUTURE of BOXING ! PACMAN has brought boxing
back to an exciting level ! cant say that about Mayweather..zzzzzzzz
Hey if it turns out that if Floyd still wants to fight Pacman
but insist on 60/40 split then HE CAN GO AHEAD and KISS HIS OWN ASS !! Pacman dont need really the money but if Floyd wants to think hes the PPV Pimp and can earn that much without fighting Pacman then BE IT – lets see how many more fights and how many
more years before he even gets $20 million before calling it quits ! I dont think Pacman is stupid to give Mayweather that much money to loose !
It’s Okay Cali, you don’t have to bust a vein for these morons. We all understand the math. We know the American market vs others. Let them ride it. It’s all they got. They fear it when an outsiders takes the show from them. We all know how it goes in the hood. it’s these chump change sheltered foolios trying to play the game. It’s all good.
heres how i see it…
if pacman draws 1.5 fighting an unknown opponent! then we can safely say that pac drew 95%+.
but since mosley and floyd are two household names they would have to sell 3mill to beat pacs draw… to gain any leverage on the negotiation table against pac. because since they are both household names you can easily say that they draw 50% of the ppv each.. its that simple!
The fight is not sold out and it will do slighty better than Mayweather/Marquez at best. Everything else is bullsh*t and hype. Mayweather hurt his PPv marketability somewhat in the Marquez Fight. A lot of folks will wait for the replay in a week.
Admitting making a mistake is rare for writers of these forum. I give you credit for that. Floyd has upset a lot of people which may lead to a number of them boycotting the fight by not buying PPV. So 1.5 million PPV buys is a more realistic figure.
Does it really surprise you that the tickets are sold out? Considering the full capacity of MGM Grand at 17K, I can imagine it’s a little bigger than the size of the dressing room of the Texas Stadium.
Until the fight happens and one of them actually beats the#1 P4P, the “Dancer” and the “Grandpa” will remain #2 and #3 or 4, respectively. But here’s my honest prediction, “Granpa” will beat the “Dancer’s” ass.(If I may borrow his own words).
Simon, you know deep down you are lying. Which dancer and which old man? Who will dare watch? Are you talking about Floyd and Shane? Come on Simon….this match ia already a sell out and you still doubt it, then you are certainly not willing to believe anything…not a single thing on matters of boxing especially that Floyd has never lost as a pro. that he never lost his P4P tittle in the ring and that he is the best boxer of our era. You know who Shane is..amongst the top 4 or 3 in this weight, and you will see what will happen to him come May 1. Any one not afraid of anything…needles, blood draing, including Floyd will line up to face the great boxer before the end of this year. Real men will stand-up and give no excuses because it will be the only thing that will make any fighter ascend to the best P4P position in this class.
this is the way i c it.
pac is fighting a no name so whatever draws happen in this fight can easily b said that manny drew 95% of ppv.
with the floyd mosley fight whatever is drawn, is even easier said that they draw 50% of ppv each. so that fight will have to do 100% more than pacs fight to call either of them a bigger draw than pac
i think if pac sells 1.5mil then floyds fight will have to more than double that or else the leverage will be in mannys favor…… reason;
manny is fighting whom everyone is calling a no-name! so if he draws alot of ppv’s it can easily be said that manny drew em…..
mayweaher n mosley r houshold names and we can very well say that they r both equall draws on the ppv retail. its really that simple
it will be bigger than PAC-??? whoever he’s fighting
Not as big as Floyd’s mouth. Who will dare watch a “Dancer” and “Grandpa” box? Not me
Fair article. All we know about the ticket sales for Mayweather/Mosley is that they sold 14k in 15 minutes. Haven’t heard anything since then.
There is no doubt that both Pac and Mayweather BENEFITED from the failed negotiations. It would have been much bigger if they would have actually fought, but both were in the press A LOT during those negotiations and I think both fights will gain attention due to that.
Furthermore, the rift that those two have caused in boxing fans is amazing. I have not seen this type of passion in a LONG TIME.
Pac Man is at an unfair advantage this weekend. First of all he is fighting as a major favorite and anything other than a KO will leave people questioning him. Furthermore, Arum has failed him by setting up this fight and promoting it poorly. Arum has pretty much failed Pac at everything but Pac is stuck with him. If he pulls a million on this card then he should get credit like Mayweather should have gotten for pulling a million vs JMM. This card is just not going to sell that well. The undercard is somewhat weak too.
Mayweather v Mosley is going to destroy Pacs fight in revenue and PPV’s. It won’t be close and a 1-1.5 million PPV differential is possible. That is not Pac Mans fault, IMHO. That is Arums fault, but plays right into Arums hand in that he never wants to see Pac Man face Mayweather.
Pacquiao would never except less than 50%…so if that was an issue in getting a Pac and Floyd fight together. Then you can forget it and the fans lose out. However, thats only saying if Floyd actually wins and Pac wins. Floyd has a bigger chance of losing considering he is fighting a fighter who posesses skills equal to greater than his own. Pac taking on Clottey will be an exciting fight and be worth every dollar, but would be considered less competitive. So Pac probably would get between 1.5 to 2 million in PPV buys. Shane and Floyd would get 2 to 2.5 million PPV buys. I would be surprised if that wasn’t the case on either fight.
manny clottey will not sell 1 million ppv. i would put every penny in won on it. i will be shocked if it sells more then 600,000 ppv. they cant even sell tickets to the event. jerry jones had to buy most of them even thou most tickets cheep as 50 dollers. manny floyd wont happen. manny would have to do blood test and b ok with 60/40 split. if mosley wins. rematch clause sais mosley must match up with floyd next. no in between bouts. so mosley would have to win twice. so manny would not be able to match up with mosley till end of 2010 or early 2011. mosley not beatin floyd. cant beat boxers and defense too superb. antonio sits there and lets you hit him . cotto did the same but could not hurt him mosley did.only way for manny to up one on floyd is to match up with pw. and that wont happen feelin floyd just may do that match next.
If you think Pacquiao-Clottey is doing 1 million PPV buys, you’re nuts.