By Manuel Perez: I really hope that that Manny Pacquiao will do well next month against World Boxing Organization welterweight champion Miguel Cotto on November 14th, but I can’t see things working out that way. I think Pacquiao will be too small to do much against the powerful Cotto and this fight is going to get out of hand early on. You can say that the hype bubble for Pacquiao may be burst on November 14th, if/when Cotto gives Pacquiao a beating.

They say speed equals power, and that may be true. But speed doesn’t mean as much when a fighter is tiny compared to the other one and doesn’t have the ingrained power. Cotto you see is just bigger, more rugged and inherently more powerful than the little Pacquiao.

In my boxing days, I was always able to wipe the deck with littler fighters than me – always. It didn’t matter if they were faster than me, I was able to beat them up with my superior size. And this is what the main problem will be for Pacquiao against Cotto. I predict that Pacquiao will be too little and his power shots won’t have any effect on Cotto. Pacquiao’s shots may be powerful to fighters in the lower weight classs, but against an talented able bodied fighter like Miguel Cotto, Pacquiao will be like a small insect flying around Cotto’s head.

Once it becomes clear that Pacquiao doesn’t have the power to hurt Cotto, look for Pacquiao to start taking terrible punishment to the head and body.

I thought Pacquiao was a good fighter when he was fighting at the lower weight classes, but he started to experience problems when he met up with Juan Manuel Marquez in 2004. Marquez out-boxed Pacquiao in many of the rounds, and had to settle for a draw in that fight. I had Marquez winning easily. Pacquiao would later lose to Erik Morales, and then have more problems against Marquez in their rematch last year.

By this time, Pacquiao was very popular with the boxing public and ended up winning a controversial 12 round split decision over Marquez. I had Marquez winning by four rounds in that fight, and many other boxing fans felt that Marquez won the fight.

So, Pacquiao finds himself against one of the best – not the best through – welterweights in the division in facing Cotto. Pacquiao likely start to have problems starting in the first round when it becomes clear that he doesn’t have the power to compete with Cotto.